Research on Quantitative Method about Driver Reliability

The influence factors of reliability for drivers in different running stage are analyzed in the paper, firstly, based on Behavior-causing Theory. Then a new quantification method on transience reliability for drivers is advanced by a new definition “reliability degree”, whose error rate is calculated by the response time of drivers, and the influence factors how to influent the transience reliability degree is also researched. The whole reliability of drivers could be described by the new method. The results show the new method could not only statistics the reliability but also describe the relationship between reliability and time.